Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.071551 0.083883 0.097652 0.114160 0.133410 0.155147 0.181556
2026-01-04 0.055544 0.071539 0.091086 0.116711 0.149409 0.189732 0.243252
2026-01-11 0.044052 0.061684 0.085027 0.118148 0.163907 0.224890 0.312370
2026-01-18 0.035123 0.053073 0.078633 0.117601 0.175460 0.258167 0.385426
2026-01-25 0.027574 0.044695 0.070764 0.113220 0.180559 0.283186 0.451535
2026-02-01 0.021753 0.037628 0.063344 0.107860 0.182892 0.304186 0.515206
2026-02-08 0.017892 0.032870 0.058567 0.105629 0.189531 0.332725 0.595692
2026-02-15 0.014762 0.028696 0.053916 0.102603 0.194067 0.358252 0.675321
2026-02-22 0.012798 0.026223 0.051766 0.103557 0.205697 0.397843 0.786612
2026-03-01 0.011000 0.023693 0.049013 0.102787 0.213822 0.432131 0.893663
2026-03-08 0.009242 0.020880 0.045170 0.099090 0.215408 0.453922 0.979665
2026-03-15 0.008054 0.019037 0.042960 0.098334 0.222823 0.488401 1.097263
2026-03-22 0.007267 0.018006 0.042462 0.101588 0.240334 0.548738 1.285174
2026-03-29 0.006611 0.017149 0.042212 0.105422 0.260062 0.617762 1.506302
2026-04-05 0.005943 0.016124 0.041381 0.107762 0.276876 0.683487 1.732979
2026-04-12 0.005252 0.014887 0.039795 0.107943 0.288546 0.739428 1.947329
2026-04-19 0.004489 0.013284 0.036960 0.104346 0.289968 0.770771 2.106607
2026-04-26 0.003802 0.011736 0.033953 0.099667 0.287628 0.792241 2.244730
2026-05-03 0.003324 0.010683 0.032086 0.097774 0.292565 0.833757 2.445187
2026-05-10 0.002888 0.009656 0.030084 0.095078 0.294709 0.868163 2.632810
2026-05-17 0.002620 0.009097 0.029349 0.096034 0.307836 0.935878 2.929966
2026-05-24 0.002341 0.008436 0.028167 0.095365 0.315922 0.990579 3.199340
2026-05-31 0.002033 0.007601 0.026259 0.091961 0.314731 1.017436 3.388764